大温地产局1月市场报告--2026年伊始 大温楼市延续既有走势 平静开局

去年市场走势延续至今年一月，大温地区（MLS®）系统登记的住宅成交量较去年同期下降28.5%，为新一年的市场带来了相对平静的开局。

据大温地产局（REBGV）报告称，2026 年1月该地区住宅成交总量为1,107 套，较2025年1月的1,552 套下降28.7%。这一数据也较10 年同期季节性平均水平（1,602 套）低 30.9%。

“On their own, the January sales appear alarming, but it’s important to put these figures in the context of the past few years. Last year ended with one of the lowest sales totals in over two decades, and so it’s not surprising that the January sales figures were fourth slowest in over two decades as well,” said Andrew Lis, GVR’s chief economist and vice-president, data analytics. “Market momentum is a slowly evolving force, and in many ways, the January figures represent a market that continues slowly evolving to what may be a new normal.”

大温房地产经纪协会（GVR）首席经济学家兼数据分析副总裁 Andrew Lis 表示：“单看1月的成交数据或许令人担忧，但将其放在过去几年的大背景下就更容易理解。去年以二十多年来最低的成交总量之一收官，因此今年1月的成交量同样位列二十多年来第四低，也就并不令人意外。市场动能是一种缓慢演变的力量，而从多方面来看，1月的数据正反映出市场正在持续、缓慢地向一种可能的‘新常态’过渡。”

There were 5,157 detached, attached and apartment properties newly listed for sale on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Metro Vancouver in January 2026. This represents a 7.3 percent decrease compared to the 5,566 properties listed in January 2025. This was 19.4 percent above the 10-year seasonal average (4,318).

2026年1月，大温地区在 MLS® 系统上新挂牌的独立屋、联排别墅及公寓住宅共计5,157套，较2025年1月的5,566 套减少7.3%。该数值同时也高于10年同期季节性平均水平（4,318 套）19.4%。

目前，大温地区MLS®系统上的在售物业总数为12,628 套，较2025年1月的11,494套增加9.9%。同时高于10年同期季节性平均水平（9,153 套）38%。

Across all detached, attached and apartment property types, the sales-to-active listings ratio for January 2026 is 9.1 percent. By property type, the ratio is 6.7 percent for detached homes, 11.1 percent for attached, and 10.3 percent for apartments.   

2026年1月，所有独立屋、联排别墅和公寓物业类型的整体销售与挂牌比为9.1%。按物业类型划分，独立屋为6.7%，联排别墅为 11.1%，公寓为 10.3%。

Analysis of the historical data suggests downward pressure on home prices occurs when the ratio dips below 12 percent for a sustained period, while home prices often experience upward pressure when it surpasses 20 percent over several months. 

对历史数据的分析表明，当销售与活跃挂牌量的比率在一个持续时间内降至12%以下时，房屋价格可能会面临下行压力；而当该比率在数个月内超过20%时，房屋价格往往会出现上行压力。

“Our recent 2026 forecast suggests this year is likely to resemble 2025 on many fronts, and we expect sales to remain tepid. When paired with sellers remaining eager to list, inventory will likely remain elevated relative to historical averages and, as a result, we expect prices to finish the year relatively unchanged,” Lis said. “As consumers adjust to the ongoing backdrop of political and economic uncertainty, we expect a degree of pent-up demand to re-enter the market at some point. Whether it will happen in 2026 remains an open question, and we’ll be watching the market closely for signs of improvement.”

Lis 表示：“我们最新发布的 2026 年市场预测显示，今年在多个方面可能与2025年相似，预计成交量仍将保持低迷。在卖方持续积极挂牌的背景下，库存水平很可能继续高于历史平均值，因此我们预计房价在年末将总体保持相对稳定。与此同时，随着消费者逐步适应当前持续存在的政治与经济不确定环境，部分被压抑的需求有望在未来重新回流市场。至于这一变化是否会在2026年出现，仍有待观察，我们也将密切关注市场是否释放出改善的信号。”

大温地区所有住宅物业的MLS®房价指数综合基准价目前为$1,101,900 加元，较2025年1月下降 5.7%，较2025年12月环比下降1.2%。

独立屋市场

Sales of detached homes in January 2026 reached 300, a 21.1 percent decrease from the 380 detached sales recorded in January 2025. The benchmark price for a detached home is $1,850,800. This represents a 7.3 percent decrease from January 2025 and a 1.5 percent decrease compared to December 2025.

2026年1月，独立屋的成交量共计为300套，较2025年1月的380 套下降21.1%。独立屋的基准价格为$1,850,800 加元，较去年同期下降7.3%，较2025年12月环比下降1.5%。

公寓市场

Sales of apartment homes reached 554 in January 2026, a 34.5 percent decrease compared to the 846 sales in January 2025. The benchmark price of an apartment home is $704,600. This represents a 5.9 percent decrease from January 2025 and a 0.8 percent decrease compared to December 2025.   

2026年1月，公寓的成交量共计为554套，较2025年1月的846套下降34.5%。公寓住宅的基准价格为$704,600 加元，较去年同期下降5.9%，较2025年12月环比下降0.8%。

联排屋市场

Attached home sales in January 2026 totalled 246, a 23.4 percent decrease compared to the 321 sales in January 2025. The benchmark price of a townhouse is $1,043,400. This represents a 5.4 percent decrease from January 2025 and a 1.2 percent decrease compared to December 2025.

2026年1月，联排别墅的成交量共计为246 套，较2025年1月的321套下降23.4%。联排别墅的基准价格为$1,043,400加元，较去年同期下降5.4%，较2025年12月环比下降1.2%。