
《2026年通商白皮书》和《2026年通商政策战略》发布
日本经济产业省(METI)于2026年6月30日向内阁提交并发布了年度《通商白皮书》2026年版。《通商白皮书》通过分析可能影响贸易的国际经济动向及海外各国政策,为日本贸易政策的制定提供参考,同时也是向日本国民阐明日本贸易政策基本思路和方向的重要白皮书。2026年版为该系列的第78部。此外,为了立足当前国际形势,聚焦日本应予推行的国际经济与贸易政策,经济产业省依据产业结构审议会通商政策分科会的讨论成果,编制了《2026年通商政策战略》,并在白皮书中阐明该战略的目标与方向。
一、白皮书要点
《2026年通商白皮书》主要提出以下分析结论:
1. 近年来,全球经济面临前所未有的不确定性,构建韧性供应链已成为当务之急。为此,重要的是通过开拓新市场和多元化采购渠道来化解风险。特别是,鉴于新兴经济体人口增长和关键矿产资源丰富所带来的快速发展,与新兴经济体建立稳固关系至关重要。
2. 与此同时,中国向新兴市场的扩张态势显著,东盟国家对中国中间品进口的依赖度不断上升。此外,发达经济体与新兴经济体之间当前正在推进经济伙伴关系构建,由志同道合国家主导构建国际新秩序的重要性日益凸显。
3. 在此背景下,日本通过对外直接投资和出口来确保危机管理和增长投资所需资金显得尤为重要。特别是,日本的发展机遇在于应对新兴经济体面临的挑战。关键在于推进能够发挥日本优势的举措,包括:以技术实力为基础强化涵盖能源在内的供应链;通过开发产业园区、城市基础设施等房地产投资,助力包括中小企业在内的日本企业向这些市场拓展;以及通过部署AI等领域的专业初创企业推动新技术落地应用。
二、《2026年通商政策战略》要点
基于《2026年通商白皮书》所作分析,白皮书阐明日本应予推行的贸易战略目标与方向如下:
目标
即便世界正从以建立单一全球市场为目标的新自由主义时代,转向在潜在碎片化背景下国家参与和安全优先的时代,日本仍将继续推进贸易战略目标,致力于保持可信赖经济伙伴的地位,并通过解决全球性议题最大化其全球附加值。日本将通过上述努力,为实现“自由开放的印度太平洋”(FOIP)构想以及日本与世界共同繁荣的增长战略作出贡献。
方向
在应对复杂严峻国际环境方面,日本当前国际经济与贸易政策方向可归纳为以下三点:
日本将继续作为可信赖的经济伙伴、连接多极世界的国家。日本将在妥善处理对美对华关系等紧迫议题的同时,推进以自由贸易和法治为基础的混合型贸易战略。
日本将依托亚洲零排放共同体(AZEC)和亚洲广泛能源与资源韧性伙伴关系(POWERR Asia),连接同样希望能源市场稳定、不屈从于经济胁迫的中东与亚洲地区。日本旨在构建一个真正自由、互利共赢、涵盖主要大国的“可信赖经济圈”。为此,日本将通过产油国与消费国合作构建新型供应链、增强能源供需韧性,并主导制定原油储备等相关规则,以此加速全球韧性提升战略性投资和促增长投资。
关于强化与全球南方合作——这是充实FOIP更新版的关键之一——日本将在对接区域战略以及17个战略领域政企联合投资路线图的基础上,力争实现:(1)项目商业化;(2)参与主体和实施国家范围扩大;(3)项目横向复制推广;(4)通过与全球南方国家开展学术合作构建共同知识基础,为上述工作奠定基石。
三、《2026年通商白皮书》目录
目录
第一部分 动荡变局下的全球经济与新兴经济体
第一章 动荡变局下的全球经济
第二章 新兴经济体重要性日益凸显
第三章 新兴经济体分析
第四章 中国、欧洲和美国的政策动向
第五章 日本国际经济与贸易战略
第六章 全球南方未来导向型共创项目综述
第二部分 全球经济动向
第一章 主要国家贸易与经济动向
第二章 经常账户与直接投资流入流出动向
第三部分 政策
第一章 日本2025财年的行动与举措
(中文由AI翻译,请仔细甄别)
Release of the White Paper on International Economy and Trade 2026 and the International Trade and Economic Strategy 2026
The Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (METI) has released the 2026 version of its annual White Paper on International Economy and Trade, which was presented to the Cabinet on June 30, 2025. The White Paper on International Economy and Trade analyzes the international economic trends and policies of overseas countries that may have impacts on trade, thereby contributing to the formulation of Japan’s trade policies. Also, it is an important white paper that shows the basic approach and direction of Japan’s trade policies to the citizens of Japan. The 2026 version is the 78th in the series. Moreover, in order to highlight the international trade and economic policies that Japan should implement in consideration of the current international situation, METI compiled the international Trade and Economic Strategy 2026 based on discussions held by the Trade Committee of the Industrial Structure Council to indicate the targets and direction of this strategy in the White Paper.
1. Highlights of the White Paper
The White Paper on International Economy and Trade 2026 mainly presents the following analysis findings:
1. In recent years, the global economy has faced unprecedented levels of uncertainty, making the building of resilient supply chains an urgent priority. For this reason, it is important to mitigate risks by exploring new markets and diversifying procurement sources. Building strong relationships with emerging economies is particularly critical, given their rapid growth driven by rising populations and abundant critical mineral resources.
2. Meanwhile, China's expansion into emerging markets has been remarkable, with ASEAN countries increasing their dependence on China for intermediate goods imports. Furthermore, moves toward economic partnership are currently underway among both developed and emerging economies, and the importance of building a new international order led by like-minded nations is growing.
3. Under the circumstances, it is important for Japan to secure the funds necessary for crisis management and growth investment through foreign direct investment and exports. In particular, Japan’s opportunity for success lies in addressing the challenges facing emerging economies. It is crucial to advance initiatives that leverage Japan’s strengths, such as strengthening supply chains including energy based on technological capabilities; real estate investments, such as developing industrial parks and urban infrastructure which facilitate the expansion of Japanese companies including SMEs into these markets; and implementing new technologies through the deployment of startups specializing in fields like AI.
2. Highlights of the International Trade and Economic Strategy 2026
Based on the analysis made in the White Paper on International Economy and Trade 2026, the following targets and direction of the trade strategy that should be pursued by Japan are indicated in the paper:
Targets
Even as the world shifts from an era of neoliberalism aimed at a single global market to one where state involvement and security are prioritized amid potential fragmentation, Japan will continue to pursue trade strategy goals aimed at remaining a reliable economic partner and maximizing its global added value by resolving global issues. Through these efforts, Japan will contribute to the realization of the Free and Open Indo-Pacific (FOIP) and to growth strategies which will allow for the mutual prosperity of Japan and the world.
Direction
To navigate the challenging international environment, the current direction of Japan’s international trade and economic policy can be summarized in the following three points:
1. Japan will continue to be a reliable economic partner and a nation that connects a multipolar world. While managing immediate issues such as relations with the United States and China, Japan will promote a hybrid trade strategy that advances initiatives based on free trade and the rule of law.
2. By leveraging the Asia Zero Emission Community (AZEC) and the Partnership on Wide Energy and Resources Resilience Asia (POWERR Asia), Japan will connect the Middle East and Asia, both of which desire stable energy markets that do not succumb to economic coercion. Japan aims to build a truly free, mutually beneficial, and “trusted economic sphere” that includes major powers. Japan will achieve this by building new supply chains through which oil-producing and consuming nations cooperate to enhance energy supply-demand resilience, and by leading the formulation of rules, including those for crude oil stockpiling, thereby accelerating global strategic investments that enhance resilience and investments that promote growth.
3. Regarding the strengthening of cooperation with the Global South, which is one of the keys to embodying the update of FOIP, while aligning with regional strategies and a roadmap for public-private investment for the 17strategic fields, Japan will aim for (1) project commercialization; (2) expansion of the base of business operators and implementing countries; (3) horizontal expansion of projects; and (4) creation of a common knowledge base through academic collaboration with Global South nations, which will serve as the foundation for these efforts.
3. White Paper on International Economy and Trade 2026 Table of Contents
Table of Contents
Part I The Global Economy and Emerging Economies Amidst Turmoil
Chapter 1 Global Economy Amidst Turmoil
Chapter 2 The Growing Importance of Emerging Economies
Chapter 3 Analysis of Emerging Economies
Chapter 4 Policy Trends in China, Europe, and the United States
Chapter 5 Japan's International Trade and Economic Strategy
Chapter 6 Overview of the Global South Future-Oriented and Co-creation Project
Part II Global Economic Trends
Chapter 1 Trade and Economic Trends of Major Countries
Chapter 2 Trends in the Current Account and Direct Investment Inflows and Outflows
Part III Policies
Chapter 1 Japan’s Efforts and Initiatives in Fiscal 2025
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